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Objections
2: With
the
new MMP system there will be too many political parties
by
Giuseppe Gori
If
you are worried about "frivolous parties"
created to acquire attention, promote a movement or one
issue, you are right. This has to be prevented. The
proposed seat assignment formula of the proposed MMP
system prevents this by introducing a minimum threshold
of 3% for a party to be eligible for a seat in the
Legislature.
[
For
your information, there are other formulas that could be
used, to assign the 39 seats according to the total
votes, or residual votes across Ontario (described
elsewhere) which automatically would create a minimum
threshold of about 2.6% (100/39). ]
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If
you are worried instead about the actual number of
parties, say 18 instead of the current 9, here is a test
for you: Can you name all the current registered
parties? If not, why?
I
guess it is because the media has decided that these
parties "do not have a chance".
Thus
currently we have nine choices, but only three
"real" options.
See the nine registered parties at:
http://www.electionsontario.on.ca/en/cp_parties_registered_parties_en.shtml
So,
what happens if we go from nine to (say) eighteen?
There
are several arguments: The cost of having multiple
parties, how the system may be confusing, and how a
government can be formed (see objection 3).
Cost:
Currently the "cost of democracy" has three
components: 1) Cost of running an election, 2) Frequency of
elections, and 3) Cost of financing political parties.
1)
The cost of running an election would remain approximately the
same, as the District Returning officers, personnel,
poll employees, etc. would not need to be increased. A
change in the layout of the ballots would not make the
printing costs any different.
There are some one-time costs in advertising the
Referendum and explaining the new system, which are
not related to the number of registered political
parties.
2)
Elections would be more frequent in the case a
government is not up to expectations (see:
"Objection 3"). The question then is: do we want to
spend $60 Million in another election (THIS IS LESS
THAN 1/1,000th OF THE ANNUAL ONTARIO BUDGET!) or bear with a
government that can easily cost us Billions of dollars
in
mismanagement? The answer should be obvious: elections
are worth it, when needed.
3)
The cost of financing a political party is currently proportional to the number of donations to a party and
varies according to the size of donations. Members and
sympathizers send contributions directly to the
political party of their choice.
The party issues an
official receipt and this receipt allows the
contributor to get a refund at tax time (This is the
cost to taxpayers).
Political
parties, in Ontario, do not receive any government
money or grants. However, candidates who received at
least 15% of the votes get a reimbursement of their
expenses.
With the current rules, the number of contributors
(more exactly, the total number of contributions)
determines the cost of "partisan politics".
The number of contributors and size of contributions
is unrelated to the number of parties, whether we all
contributed to one party or we contributed to a
hundred different parties. However, because of the
reimbursement rules to candidates (the unfair 15%
minimum threshold) with more parties on the field,
chances are that fewer number of candidates would
receive more than 15%, thus the total cost of
reimbursement to candidates may actually decrease!
Confusion?
Some people may think that having more parties would
add to the confusion.
- If you are not much interested in politics, as noted
above, you only know the names of three or four parties.
You will not know (or care) how many are registered.
- If you are interested in politics, then probably you
will be happier when you find a party that matches your
values, since with the new system your vote for this
party is not wasted.
Some people may not like seeing on TV a debate (as it
happened recently in the US for both democrats and
republicans) with more than 10 people. The networks do
not like that: they want to be in control of what you
see (and know) so that their choice determines our
government.
Obviously, the idea of democracy is not for society to
be run by the news media (or any other group) but to
have an informed choice and a free vote. Having debates
with multiple candidates may not make a "good
show", but allows more information and ideas to be
shared with the audience and ultimately represents more
freedom (available options) for voters.
How
can a government be formed
You may worry about two things: 1) the stability of
government and seemingly impossible majorities, and 2)
the mechanics of forming a government.
1)
The current system solves the problem for the short
term, but creates long-term stability problems as it is
conductive to "swings" from one majority to
another often going in the opposite direction. This
is very costly for industry,
which sees no clear long term stability in the rules of
doing business. The argument for the new system is
treated in more detail under "Objection 3".
2)
With the new system, majority governments can still
happen if the majority of voters are satisfied with one
party. Parties will be less willing to "win at all
costs and promise the moon" and then not able to
deliver. Parties will want to be perceived as able to
deliver good governments.
However, it will still be unlikely that one party will
be perceived good by the majority for a long time and
(this is the nature of politics) people will probably
want change. One party majority governments will be
unlikely and majority coalition governments will be more
common.
A majority coalition will be formed by as many parties
required to reach a majority in the Legislature (70
seats). Thus, if the most successful party at the
election has gained 50 seats, the leader of this party
will have to "find" one or two other parties
he can work with who have a minimum of twenty seats, for
a combined minimum of 70. These parties will form a
"majority coalition" government.
In such
government, the minor players will participate in
planning (the budget) and in administering the
government (Ministries). Thus, depending on the
specifics, you could have a government that will enact a
legislative initiative of a minor party (representing a
minority) among all of its major legislation. You might
also have a minor party holding a ministerial position,
depending on the specific interest and agreements.
The
Ontario Citizen Assembly has judged and decided almost
unanimously, that majority coalition governments are
better governments. So have most of the industrialized
western democracies.
Why? Essentially to provide an
automatic check (and "recall" mechanism) in
case one of the major leaders of the coalition wants to
enact legislation that is in contrast with the direction
of the other members of the coalition.
If a party leader
is so unhappy of the government course of action, he may
take a chance and cause the government to fall. Either
he is right (and voters will support him) or he is
wrong, his political career may be over and his party
will suffer the consequences.
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